Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.445030 0.488782 0.536353 0.592160 0.656141 0.727567 0.813848
2025-07-27 0.376694 0.437805 0.509674 0.601500 0.717280 0.860599 1.054971
2025-08-03 0.324247 0.390783 0.473150 0.584666 0.735035 0.935920 1.234047
2025-08-10 0.286062 0.354035 0.441434 0.565088 0.740814 0.990523 1.390370
2025-08-17 0.259580 0.328358 0.419632 0.553686 0.753099 1.052557 1.567117
2025-08-24 0.238987 0.307963 0.402005 0.544693 0.765743 1.114835 1.755949
2025-08-31 0.221961 0.290638 0.386499 0.536191 0.776725 1.174629 1.953141
2025-09-07 0.211568 0.281540 0.381568 0.542468 0.811127 1.278269 2.258769
2025-09-14 0.198251 0.267092 0.367328 0.532330 0.816335 1.330483 2.474830
2025-09-21 0.188665 0.257340 0.359205 0.530884 0.835828 1.411895 2.778527
2025-09-28 0.176700 0.243210 0.343214 0.514734 0.826691 1.435540 2.954355
2025-10-05 0.173637 0.242279 0.347643 0.533270 0.883551 1.603517 3.553651
2025-10-12 0.169375 0.239464 0.349226 0.547772 0.936493 1.779033 4.271041
2025-10-19 0.163585 0.233921 0.346003 0.553505 0.973358 1.928695 5.001697
2025-10-26 0.154432 0.222454 0.332075 0.538119 0.964200 1.965997 5.382755
2025-11-02 0.145679 0.211156 0.317695 0.520569 0.948102 1.982739 5.703410
2025-11-09 0.138887 0.202696 0.307628 0.510358 0.946754 2.038130 6.213930
2025-11-16 0.132976 0.195377 0.299071 0.502303 0.949163 2.104652 6.822355
2025-11-23 0.127570 0.188627 0.291093 0.494682 0.951570 2.172186 7.493041
2025-11-30 0.124569 0.185747 0.289779 0.500309 0.986079 2.343831 8.846787
2025-12-07 0.119602 0.179291 0.281644 0.491220 0.983541 2.401073 9.640890
2025-12-14 0.116064 0.175117 0.277417 0.489924 1.000350 2.525995 10.999024
2025-12-21 0.110927 0.167968 0.267339 0.475432 0.981537 2.526851 11.542816